Pre-Flop |
| The probability of being dealt: |
| Pocket aces |
220/1 |
0.45% |
| Pocket aces or pocket kings |
110/1 |
0.9% |
| Any pocket pair |
16/1 |
5.9% |
| AK suited |
331/1
|
0.3% |
| AK offsuit |
110/1 |
0.9% |
AK suited or offsuit
|
82/1 |
1.2% |
Any two suited cards
|
3.3/1
|
23.2% |
Either pocket aces, pocket kings or AK
|
46/1
|
2.1% |
Pocket Pair |
Flopping a set or better (with a pocket pair)
|
7.5/1 |
11.8% |
|
8.3/1
136/1
407/1 |
10.8%
0.73%
0.25% |
Making a set or better by the river
|
4.2/1 |
19% |
With two suited cards, the probability of: |
Flopping a flush
|
118/1 |
0.84% |
Flopping a flush draw
|
8.1/1 |
11.0% |
Flopping a backdoor flush draw (3 flush cards)
|
1.4/1 |
41.7% |
Making a flush by the river
|
15/1 |
6.3% |
With two unsuited cards, the probability of: |
Flopping a flush draw
|
88/1 |
1.1% |
Flopping a backdoor flush draw (3 flush cards)
|
6.8/1 |
12.8% |
Making a flush by the river
|
53/1 |
1.9% |
With 2 non-pair cards, the probability of flopping: |
| At least a pair (using your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards |
2.1/1 |
32.3% |
A pair (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards
|
2.5/1
|
29% |
| Two pair (using both of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards |
49/1 |
2% |
| Any two pair from two non-pair cards |
24/1 |
4% |
Trips (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards
|
73/1 |
1.35% |
| A full house (using both of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards |
1087/1 |
0.09% |
Quads (using one of your pocket cards) from two non-pair cards
|
9799/1 |
0.01% |
Odds that the flop will be: |
| A three of a kind |
424/1 |
0.24% |
| A pair |
5/1 |
17% |
| Three suited cards |
18/1 |
5.2% |
| Two suited cards |
0.8/1 |
55% |
No suited cards
|
1.5/1 |
40% |
| Three cards in sequence |
28/1 |
3.5% |
Two cards in sequence
|
1.5/1 |
40% |
| No cards in sequence |
0.8/1 |
56% |
At the turn, the probability of making: |
| A full house or better from a set on the next card |
5.7/1 |
15% |
| A full house from two pair on the next card - (4 outs) |
11/1 |
8.3% |
| A flush from a four-flush on the next card - (9 outs) |
4.2/1 |
19% |
| A straight from an open-ended straight draw on the next card - (8 outs) |
4.9/1 |
17% |
| A straight from a gutshot straight draw on the next card - (4 outs) |
11/1 |
8.3% |
| A pair from two overcards - (6 outs) |
6.8/1 |
13% |
Flop to River , the probability of making: |
| A full house or better from a set by the river |
2/1 |
33% |
| A full house or better from two pair by the river (4 outs) |
5.1/1 |
16% |
| A flush from a four-flush by the river (9 outs) |
1.9/1 |
34% |
| A backdoor flush by the river |
23/1 |
4.2% |
| A straight from an open-ended straight draw by the river - (8 outs) |
2.2/1 |
31.3% |
| A straight from a gutshot straight draw by the river - (4 outs) |
5.1/1 |
16.4% |
| A pair or better from two overcards by the river - (6 outs) |
3.2/1 |
24% |
The River , the probability of making: |
| A full house or better from a set (10 outs) |
3.6/1 |
21.7% |
| A full house from two pair on the final card (4 outs) - 11/1 |
11/1 |
8.3% |
| A flush from a four-flush on the final card (9 outs) |
4.1/1 |
20% |
| An open-ended straight draw (8 outs) - 4.8/1 |
4.8/1 |
20.8% |
| A gutshot straight draw (4 outs) - 11/1 |
11/1 |
8.3% |
| A pair from two overcards (6 outs) - 6.7/1 |
6.7/1 |
13% |
Hands Matchups: Pre-Flop |
| Overpair vs. underpair: |
AA vs. QQ
80.9% 19.1% |
AA vs. 55
80.2% 19.8% |
Pocket aces vs. non-pair
|
AA vs. KQ
86.3% 13.6% |
AA vs. 87
80.1% 19.3% |
Pocket Aces vs. Suited Connectors: |
Pocket aces vs. suited connectors
|
AA vs. 77
77.0% 23.0% |
|
Pair vs. two overcards
|
JJ vs.KQ
56.9% 43.1% |
22 vs. KQ
51.6% 48.3% |
Pair vs. one overcard (unsuited)
|
99 vs.A2
70.3% 29.7% |
|
Pair vs. one overcard (suited)
|
99 vs.A2
66.7% 33.8% |
|
Dominated hands
|
AK vs. AJ
73.7% 26.3% |
AK vs. A2
69.4% 30.6% |
Two overcards vs. non-pair
|
AK vs. J10
62.6% 37.4% |
AK vs. J10 (same suit)
58.8% 41.2% |
| One overcard vs.non-pair |
A5 vs. 87
56.2% 43.9% |
A5 vs. 87 (same suit)
56.2% 47.4% |
Hand Matchups - On the Flop |
Flush draw vs. top pair
|
J10 - 38.6% |
A8 - 61.4% |
| Flush draw vs. 2 Pair |
J10 - 35.9% |
A8 - 64.1% |
| Flush draw vs. a set |
J10 - 25.6% |
A8 - 74.4% |
| Flush draw vs. top pair |
J10 - 97.1% |
A8 (suited) - 2.9% |
Flush draw vs. 2 pair
|
J10 - 82.5% |
A2 - (suited) - 17.5% |
| Flush draw vs. a set |
J10 - 65.5% |
22 - 34.5% |
Bottom 2 pair vs. top pair
|
95 - 74.5% |
AK - 25.5% |
| Bottom 2 pair vs. an overset |
95 - 0.2% |
AA - 99.8% |
| Top 2 pair vs. an underset |
95 - 16.8% |
22 - 83.2% |
| Top pair (bad kicker) vs.top pair (good kicker) |
A9 - 12.7% |
AK - 87.3% |
| Open-ended straight draw vs. a set |
J10 - 25.9% |
44 - 74.1% |
| Open-ended straight draw AND a flush draw vs. top pair |
98 - 55.3% |
AK - 44.6% |
| Open-ended straight draw AND a flush draw vs. A set |
98 - 40.6% |
AA - 59.4% |
A set vs. a higher set
|
99 - 4.3% |
AA - 95.7% |
| Inside straight draw vs. over pair |
10 9 - 18.7% |
AK - 81.3% |
| Inside straight draw vs. under pair |
10 9 -38.6% |
43 - 61.4% |
| Inside straight draw vs. two pair |
10 9 - 19.7% |
64 - 81.3% |
| Inside straight draw vs. a set |
10 9 - 13.7% |
22 - 86.2% |
Hand Matchups - Going into the River |
| Flush draw vs. top pair |
J10 - 20.5% |
A8 - 79.5% |
| Flush draw vs. 2 pair |
J10 - 18.2% |
A8 - 81.2% |
| Flush draw vs. a set |
J10 - 15.9% |
88 - 84.1% |
Flush vs. 2 pair
|
J9 - 90.1% |
A2 - 9.0% |
| Flush vs. a set |
J9 - 77.3% |
22 - 22.7% |
| Bottom 2 pair vs. top pair |
J5 - 81.8% |
22 - 18.2% |
Top pair (bad kicker) vs. top pair (good kicker)
|
J 9 - 6.8% |
22 - 93.1% |
| Open-ended straight draw vs. a set |
J10 - 18.2% |
22 - 81.2% |
| Open-ended straight draw AND a flush draw vs. top pair |
98 - 34.1% |
22 - 65.9% |
| Open-ended straight draw AND a flush draw vs. a set |
98 - 29.5% |
AA - 70.5% |
| A set vs. a higher set |
99 - 2.3% |
AA - 97.7% |
| Inside straight draw vs. over pair |
10 9 - 9.1% |
AK - 90.1% |
| Inside straight draw straight draw vs. under pair |
10 9 - 22.7% |
43 - 77.3% |
| Inside straight draw straight draw vs. two pair |
10 9 - 9.1% |
64 - 90.9% |
| Inside straight draw straight draw vs. a set |
10 9 - 9.1% |
22 - 90.1% |
Knowing your odds in any given situation is the key to success in the game of poker. Despite that, many players shy away from factoring odds into their gameplay, intimidated by the seeming complexity of odds calculation or preferring simply to go with their "gut."